The plot may seriously go wrong as the war in between Armenia and Azerbaijan intensifies and the disagreement is heading towards what may be called a ‘dooms-day’.
The war has actually set a scramble among the world powers together with neighbours. Iran is at the essential middle of the blaze and definitely requires to ‘pull-up-the-socks’ and don’t let the situation heighten and spill out of control.
Iran’s role as yet has in fact been that of a being a ‘neutral’ in between a Christian Armenia and a Muslim Azerbaijan, for the sake due to the truth that Russia is supporting Armenia as it provides its weapons to it, nevertheless then Russia offers weapons to Iran, Azerbaijan in addition to Turkey, and Turkey is motivating of Azerbaijan.Iran’s stand is to
sit over a mediation however the circumstance in Iran itself is going-out-of-control as there is a truly considerable ethnic Turkish Azerbaijani population in Iran, which conservatively speaking has to do with 20 million and have really gone into protest-mode versus Iran to expose help for Azerbaijan in the war over Nagorno-Karabagh conflict.More than 100 people are stated to have really been gotten rid of since the war began on
September 27, 2020. Both Armenia and Azerbaijan were as soon as under the Soviet Union which broke in 1991 and both had in fact gone over a war in 1994 too.Iran, which had actually presently been beleaguered by the Arab-states sponsored war by Iraq(1980-89 )and dealing with United States attacks from the previous 7 decades, in rather well into its concerns i.e. its open support of Palestine, towards Assad program in Syria (with Russian support )with its very unsteady economy in the background, has actually now just recently seen a wave of demonstrations by Azerbaijanis in various of its cities consisting of the capital Tehran and its northwestern city of Tabraiz, with Azerbaijanis rallying’Karabagh is ours.< img src="// www.w3.org/2000/svg'%20viewBox='0%200%20699%20375'%3E%3C/svg%3E" data-src="https://eurasiantimes.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/Iran-Israel-1.png"alt="iran-israel"width="699"height=" 375"/ > It will stay ours’reported RadioFreeEuropeRadioLiberty on October 2, 2020’On October 1, four representatives of Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in 4 of the country’s provinces with a big ethnic Azeri population launched a joint declaration in support of Azerbaijan.The declaration by Khamenei’s agents in the provinces of West and East Azerbaijan, Ardebil, and Zanjan said that” there is no doubt”that the breakaway region
originates from Azerbaijan’. Iran, which shares a border with both Azerbaijan and Armenia, has actually required an instant end to hostilities. Tehran has in fact exposed its readiness to moderate the conflict. Iran president Rouhani worked with Armenia PM Nikol Pashinian that his nation needed to pursue ending the conflict. Iran foreign minister Javed Zarif had really currently revealed that’our area needs peace now’. It is due time that understanding controls and Iran takes effort to step in as a direct fallout of the scenario is going to impact Iran’s polity. Iran requires to take Azerbaijanis to make them comprehend hard that Iran supports Azerbaijan and not dilly-dally over it, as the external forces might craft to make Azerbaijanis search for a different land within Iran, considering the weight of about 20 million individuals who are all out in assistance of Azerbaijan inside Iran.Owing to Iran’s economy in tatters, regardless of the 400 billion USD trade and military deal of 25 years with China, it is Tehran which is expected to handle the situation with the utmost care.The problem is that Iran finds itself sandwiched in between Turkey’s complete assistance to Azerbaijan and Russian support to Armenia, and also that, Iran finds itself excessive under the Russian weight for its unstinted help to the Syrian program in the last eight years, while likewise when Russia has in fact offered a ‘favorable signal’to offer S-400 rocket system to Iran.Interestingly, Russia has really already provided S-400 to Turkey much to the dislike of Israel and US and has actually similarly provided support to Turkey which remains in conflict with Greece in the Mediterranean sea, while France, UAE and other European nations have in fact supported Greece. However, in Armenia Russia and Turkey are
on the road to accident! Russia has its 102nd military base in Armenia.Armenia has actually raised the alarm that Turkey is making use of US-made F-16 jets versus it as Nikol Pashinyan apprised US President Donald Trump on it, hence if the United States explores this conflict, which is right now seeing it from the margins, it will naturally engulf Turkey, Russia and clearly Iran as well.Iran’s participation
will invite China and Pakistan too as both are laced in CPEC task and while China is keeping a silence on it yet, Pakistan stays in open support of Azerbaijan.Armenia is implicating Turkey of restoring its old Turkish empire and because of that remains in help of Azerbaijan, which is an anathema to Britain, France and other powers as it were these colonial powers which had dismembered the Turkish/Ottoman empire after World War-I and shaped Israel out of the Turkish Palestine and various other smaller sized Arab states.Turkey also has to start to sculpt a new niche as Russia did not implicate
Turkey even when its ambassador was eliminated in Istanbul in 2016, and in spite of it, the Russian and Turkish relations did not wither, as Russia participated in deft-diplomacy and all of us keep in mind that Russian President Vladimir Putin had then called the occurrence as a’ validation targeted at ruining the normalization of Russo-Turkish relations.Instead, Turkey and Russia strengthened uniformity and reinforce cooperation and in spite of when Turkey had actually brought down a Russian aircraft in 2015. For now, Turkey requires to slow down the belief of the Ottoman/ Turkish Empire or Caliphate as all the Arab states are deadly versus Turkey, with the only exception of Qatar.Israel is now with UAE and Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and is a sworn challenger of Turkey, more so over the Turkish association towards the Al Aqsa mosque, which is the 3rd holiest site of Muslims and which the Jewish state Israel wishes to destroy to make a third-temple on it.The circumstance is getting all heated up around Armenia-Azerbaijan and it is here when Russia, Turkey, Iran with both Armenia and Azerbaijan require to iron-out a middle course, as if it would call for the United States to jump into it after the November 2020 elections it would
be a disaster, which may be just-waiting-to-happen. Penned By Haider Abbas. The author is a previous State Information Commissioner, India. He is a media specialist and makes up on worldwide politics.